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2024-12-13 05:50:34

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.The decline of treasury bond futures expanded, with the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 10-year main contract falling by 0.18%, the 5-year main contract falling by 0.12% and the 2-year main contract falling by 0.05%.China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.


Shandong mining machine opened at a daily limit, and yesterday it staged the "Earth-Sky Board".The US investment bank explained the downward adjustment of India's economic growth forecast: Based on the short-term economic slowdown and influenced by multiple internal and external factors, according to the Indian media "QRIUS", Uppsala Chachar, chief Indian economist of Morgan Stanley, the US investment bank, predicted that India's GDP growth in fiscal year 2025-2026 would be 6.5%. According to India's Economic Times, at the beginning of this month, Morgan Stanley has lowered India's GDP growth forecast for fiscal year 2024-2025 from the previous 6.7% to 6.3%.Yonhap News Agency reported on the 11th that the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department urgently arrested Zhao Zhihao, director of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Fung-sik, director of the Seoul Police Department that morning. (Xinhua News Agency)


Skyworth Digital won the first bid for China Mobile's smart set-top box collection. In the announcement of "Publicity of Selected Candidates for Centralized Procurement of Smart Set-top Box Products of China Mobile from 2024 to 2026 (Public Procurement Part)" issued by China Mobile, Skyworth Digital won the bid in the first place, with the winning share of 4K set-top boxes being 23.91% and the number of selected units being 13.12 million. The winning share of 8K ultra HD set-top boxes is 40%, and the selected number is 500,000. China Mobile released the centralized procurement of 8K ultra-high-definition set-top box products for the first time. After Skyworth Digital, the 8K ultra-high-definition set-top box, won the exclusive bid for Henan Mobile and Shanghai Mobile, the company won the first prize in centralized procurement.The cumulative number of cholera cases in Yemen is close to 220,000, and vaccination has been started in many places. Recently, the cholera epidemic has spread in Yemen. According to the statistics of the health department controlled by the Yemeni government, the cumulative number of cholera cases registered this year is close to 220,000. In response to the cholera epidemic, the Yemeni government, in cooperation with the World Health Organization and UNICEF, launched vaccination campaigns against cholera in many places.FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.04% higher, and closed down 0.05% in the last session.

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